By Jeffrey Boyer
There are a number of WRs that look attractive this year based on our Fantasy Quants data. Players like Bobby Engram, Donald Driver, and Andre Johnson (see table below) will be huge value selections at different areas during your fantasy draft this summer.
However, our three top Fantasy Quant picks are as follows:
Greg Jennings
Much like Driver the departure of Brett Farve is certainly helping out the value position here. Both Jennings (right, IconSMI) and Driver are being selected later in drafts due to Aaron Rodgers taking over at QB. Valid perhaps, but we don’t believe its warranted. Jennings was a stud last season after returning to the lineup coming off of injury and had an incredible TD streak. This guy is a stud and has finally leapfrogged Driver as the #1 option in the Green Bay WR corps. We love his VRM number, Value Ratio, and Weighted number as well. Great 5th round draft pick.
Brandon Marshall
What a year for Brandon Marshall in 2007. 102 catches, 1325 yards, and 7 TDs. Absolute stud numbers and this year - we get him at a discount. Marshall has been suspended for the first 3 games of the regular season, thus dropping his value and his average draft position. Not a worry for us, come weeks 14-16 (the money weeks) Marshall will be just fine. Looking at our Quant data, Marshall has big numbers across the board. Book Brandon Stokley late in your draft for weeks 1-3 and then ride Marshall to your playoffs in 2008. Grab him in your 4th round.
Jerricho Cotchery
Jerricho Cotchery was a Fantasy Quant pick in 2007. He was solid, but didn’t quite live up to his potential. This certainly wasn’t due to his play, but the poor quarterback play around him. Enter Brett Farve and you have a steal in the 7th round of your draft this season. We like Coles as well, but Cotchery offers up bigger upside, more consistency, and better value draft pick this season.
NFL WR 2008 FantasyQuant Worksheet
| Player | SD | Eff Ratio | VRM | ADP | Val Ratio | Weighted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason, Derrick BAL WR | 22.00 | 43.75 | 2.50 | 123.41 | 54.00 | 5.22 |
| McDonald, Shaun DET WR | 19.27 | 21.39 | 5.08 | 237.52 | 50.81 | 4.08 |
| Branch, Deion SEA WR | 21.30 | 24.05 | 7.02 | 164.12 | 39.48 | 3.48 |
| Engram, Bobby SEA WR | 22.67 | 36.25 | 4.21 | 97.71 | 35.42 | 3.74 |
| Stokley, Brandon DEN WR | 15.92 | 13.54 | 4.11 | 251.18 | 34.02 | 2.70 |
| Patten, David NOS WR | 17.92 | 11.76 | 10.55 | 234.29 | 27.55 | 2.22 |
| Jones, James GBP WR | 16.25 | 13.39 | 4.95 | 199.95 | 26.78 | 2.24 |
| Toomer, Amani NYG WR | 16.08 | 11.85 | 4.34 | 218.51 | 25.89 | 2.12 |
| Walter, Kevin HOU WR | 17.13 | 12.41 | 8.48 | 202.06 | 25.07 | 2.09 |
| Jennings, Greg GBP WR | 26.00 | 46.60 | 4.72 | 52.96 | 24.68 | 3.50 |
| Driver, Donald GBP WR | 20.33 | 25.69 | 4.80 | 87.97 | 22.60 | 2.49 |
| Randle El, Antwaan WAS WR | 15.54 | 9.11 | 7.36 | 230.39 | 20.99 | 1.70 |
| Galloway, Joey TBB WR | 21.00 | 19.65 | 10.88 | 102.98 | 20.24 | 2.09 |
| Marshall, Brandon DEN WR | 26.20 | 51.70 | 3.97 | 38.76 | 20.04 | 3.43 |
| Cotchery, Jerricho NYJ WR | 22.21 | 26.86 | 6.96 | 73.37 | 19.70 | 2.36 |
| Johnson, Andre HOU WR | 35.13 | 80.62 | 5.05 | 23.40 | 18.86 | 4.57 |
| Williams, Reggie JAC WR | 16.62 | 11.27 | 8.27 | 162.72 | 18.33 | 1.62 |
| Battle, Arnaz SFO WR | 14.79 | 7.72 | 3.97 | 236.48 | 18.25 | 1.47 |
| White, Roddy ATL WR | 23.87 | 26.93 | 9.71 | 65.54 | 17.65 | 2.24 |
| Crayton, Patrick DAL WR | 19.00 | 13.98 | 10.93 | 118.86 | 16.62 | 1.63 |
| Ward, Hines PIT WR | 20.38 | 22.46 | 6.37 | 71.37 | 16.03 | 1.95 |
| Bowe, Dwayne KCC WR | 21.64 | 27.24 | 5.94 | 57.40 | 15.64 | 2.12 |
| Holt, Torry STL WR | 23.87 | 39.62 | 4.49 | 38.99 | 15.45 | 2.63 |
| Coles, Laveranues NYJ WR | 20.27 | 18.09 | 9.53 | 85.00 | 15.38 | 1.72 |
| Chambers, Chris SDC WR | 18.47 | 19.56 | 4.66 | 73.81 | 14.44 | 1.73 |
| Williams, Roydell TEN WR | 15.00 | 5.68 | 8.87 | 252.17 | 14.31 | 1.13 |
| Curtis, Kevin PHI WR | 21.87 | 17.25 | 15.61 | 79.44 | 13.70 | 1.58 |
| Holmes, Santonio PIT WR | 23.67 | 28.22 | 8.51 | 46.92 | 13.24 | 2.01 |
| Houshmandzadeh, T.J. CIN WR | 27.27 | 43.43 | 6.63 | 28.11 | 12.21 | 2.59 |
| Johnson, Chad CIN WR | 27.07 | 37.42 | 8.66 | 31.16 | 11.66 | 2.30 |
| Welker, Wes NEP WR | 24.93 | 30.37 | 9.28 | 38.29 | 11.63 | 2.00 |
| Curry, Ronald OAK WR | 15.27 | 6.41 | 8.62 | 172.62 | 11.07 | 0.96 |
| Williams, Roy DET WR | 22.50 | 23.80 | 9.43 | 45.57 | 10.84 | 1.68 |
| Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR | 28.29 | 51.71 | 5.69 | 20.69 | 10.70 | 2.84 |
| Edwards, Braylon CLE WR | 29.07 | 51.61 | 6.07 | 20.30 | 10.48 | 2.82 |
| Boldin, Anquan ARI WR | 25.36 | 26.30 | 13.34 | 38.89 | 10.23 | 1.74 |
| Brown, Reggie PHI WR | 15.47 | 8.05 | 6.34 | 118.68 | 9.55 | 0.94 |
| Wayne, Reggie IND WR | 30.47 | 55.75 | 6.24 | 15.72 | 8.76 | 2.89 |
| Owens, Terrell DAL WR | 31.67 | 43.70 | 11.76 | 19.29 | 8.43 | 2.36 |
| Colston, Marques NOS WR | 25.00 | 32.03 | 8.45 | 25.10 | 8.04 | 1.85 |
| Moss, Santana WAS WR | 16.08 | 8.96 | 7.59 | 83.82 | 7.51 | 0.85 |
| Moss, Randy NEP WR | 36.00 | 63.38 | 8.93 | 11.84 | 7.50 | 3.13 |
| Smith, Steve CAR WR | 25.29 | 25.50 | 14.00 | 29.11 | 7.42 | 1.54 |
| Burress, Plaxico NYG WR | 22.13 | 19.16 | 13.44 | 38.44 | 7.36 | 1.27 |
| Johnson, Calvin DET WR | 16.79 | 13.28 | 5.05 | 49.13 | 6.52 | 0.97 |
| Gonzalez, Anthony IND WR | 16.45 | 7.79 | 16.09 | 83.29 | 6.49 | 0.73 |
| Evans, Lee BUF WR | 17.13 | 9.28 | 12.16 | 63.15 | 5.86 | 0.76 |
| Harrison, Marvin IND WR | 15.00 | 7.36 | 8.07 | 68.39 | 5.04 | 0.62 |
| Gage, Justin TEN WR | 13.36 | 2.05 | 6.36 | 191.30 | 3.92 | 0.33 |
| Burleson, Nate SEA WR | 13.87 | 3.52 | 6.25 | 109.59 | 3.86 | 0.39 |
| Jackson, Vincent SDC WR | 12.79 | 2.27 | 5.75 | 124.71 | 2.83 | 0.27 |
| Rice, Sidney MIN WR | 12.64 | 1.44 | 9.34 | 115.19 | 1.66 | 0.16 |
| Gaffney, Jabar NEP WR | 12.46 | 0.83 | 14.71 | 193.38 | 1.61 | 0.14 |
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